Pigeon Density Varies with Environmental Factors Across a European and North American City
Daisy E. Lewis1,*, Jonathan B. Losos1,2, and Elizabeth J. Carlen1,2
1Department of Biology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA. 2Living Earth Collaborative, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA. *Corresponding author.
Urban Naturalist, No. 79 (2025)
Abstract
Wildlife often modify their movement and space use in response to the dramatic alterations to landscapes resulting from urbanization. One such species, Columba livia (also known as the Rock Dove, Rock Pigeon, or the feral pigeon), is found in many cities throughout the world. While pigeon population density is influenced by the built environment, no study has directly compared population dynamics between two different cities. Understanding how urbanization influences pigeon population dynamics in different cities may enlighten how the differences among cities, both presently and historically, affect urban wildlife. In this study we analyze how various factors of urban environments affect pigeon density by performing visual encounter surveys in St. Louis, USA and Madrid, Spain. We conducted surveys along ten 5 km transects in each city with every transect being surveyed twice. Along these transects we recorded observations of pigeons along with environmental factors including: weather conditions, pedestrian density, presence of waste disposal/litter, and restaurants with outdoor tables. When creating our models, we added additional urban environmental factors including: density of roads, parks, population density, and impervious surface, as well as presence of schools, transportation points, and predators. We found that pigeon density was more than 3.5 times greater in Madrid than in St. Louis and that pigeon density was positively correlated with pedestrian density in both cities, positively correlated with restaurants with outdoor seating and population density in Madrid, and positively correlated with impervious surface in St. Louis. These findings corroborate some pigeon space-use findings but contradict others, adding to the growing evidence that wildlife populations respond to different cities in varying ways, probably as a result of their unique histories and cultures.
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Urban Naturalist
Pigeon Density Varies with Environmental Factors Across a
European and North American City
Daisy E. Lewis1*, Jonathan B. Losos1, 2, and Elizabeth J. Carlen1,2
Abstract: Wildlife often modify their movement and space use in response to the dramatic alterations
to landscapes resulting from urbanization. One such species, Columba livia (also known as the Rock
Dove, Rock Pigeon, or the feral pigeon), is found in many cities throughout the world. While pigeon
population density is influenced by the built environment, no study has directly compared population
dynamics between two different cities. Understanding how urbanization influences pigeon population
dynamics in different cities may enlighten how the differences among cities, both presently and
historically, affect urban wildlife. In this study we analyze how various factors of urban environments
affect pigeon density by performing visual encounter surveys in St. Louis, USA and Madrid, Spain.
We conducted surveys along ten 5 km transects in each city with every transect being surveyed twice.
Along these transects we recorded observations of pigeons along with environmental factors including:
weather conditions, pedestrian density, presence of waste disposal/litter, and restaurants with outdoor
tables. When creating our models, we added additional urban environmental factors including:
density of roads, parks, population density, and impervious surface, as well as presence of schools,
transportation points, and predators. We found that pigeon density was more than 3.5 times greater
in Madrid than in St. Louis and that pigeon density was positively correlated with pedestrian density
in both cities, positively correlated with restaurants with outdoor seating and population density in
Madrid, and positively correlated with impervious surface in St. Louis. These findings corroborate
some pigeon space-use findings but contradict others, adding to the growing evidence that wildlife
populations respond to different cities in varying ways, probably as a result of their unique histories
and cultures.
Introduction
A key goal of landscape ecology is to understand how spatial heterogeneity and environmental
variation shape ecological patterns—a question that becomes especially compelling in urban
environments. Cities represent highly heterogeneous landscapes, where a mix of native and
introduced species, built structures, human culture, and local climate create unique ecological
conditions. Yet, the extent to which differences among cities lead to different ecological communities
is relatively unexplored.
Differences in urban biodiversity between and within cities can be influenced by the political,
economic, or natural histories such as the history of land-use (Elmqvist et al. 2013). For
example, the National Urban Park of Stockholm is relatively biodiversity rich because, unlike
the rest of the city, the land had historically been used for production of food and feed. Similarly,
the city of Istanbul boasts rich biodiversity in semi-natural patches in locations used since the
end of the fourteenth century as urban farmlands in times of siege (Barthel et al. 2005, Barthel
and Isendahl 2013, Elmqvist et al. 2013, Güneralp et al. 2013).
Along with varied histories, cities have undergone varying processes of urbanization, resulting
in different built landscapes. Major urban centers in Europe experienced construction surges
1 Department of Biology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA
2 Living Earth Collaborative, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA
*Corresponding author: daisy.lewis@wustl.edu
Associate Editor: Jose Ramirez-Garofalo, Rutgers University.
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long before cities in the U.S., resulting in the application of different urban planning techniques.
Therefore many cities in Europe have older buildings, higher human densities, and more centralized
land-use patterns as opposed to the less compact urban form in the U.S. that consists of
dispersed population and greater reliance on cars (Antipova 2018).
These natural, cultural, and political histories have resulted in different urban environments
and likely have important consequences for the wildlife that still exist within them. Urban
wildlife often exhibit distinct behavioral and ecological patterns compared to their non-urban
counterparts; including differences in diet, reproduction, disease resistance, and movement
patterns (Ditchkoff et al. 2006). The spatial configuration of urban resources—particularly
human-provided food sources—directly influences how wildlife modify their spatial distribution
and habitat use within cities, lending importance to space-use analysis of urban populations
(Ditchkoff et al. 2006, Jokimäki and Suhonen 1998, Robb et al. 2008). Comparative studies
across diverse urban landscapes are therefore essential to understanding how city-specific habitat
characteristics shape wildlife spatial distribution patterns.
A common urban dweller is Columba livia Gmelin (Pigeon). Pigeons were domesticated
5,000–10,000 years ago as a food and fertilizer source (Johnston and Janiga 1995); however,
since domestication, individuals have escaped or were intentionally released, leading to the
formation of feral pigeon populations across the globe using buildings as a substitute for their
native habitat, cliffs (Blechman 2007, Blechman 2013). Pigeons have a high reproduction rate
and participate in group foraging leading to large deposits of feces, thereby solidifying their
perception as a nuisance pest species (Glünder 1989, Johnston and Janiga 1995, Skandrani et al.
2014). Pigeon prevalence in cities can also incur economic costs due to the physical deterrence
structures added to buildings, with one Italian city spending an estimated 30,000–40,000 euros
per 1 km2, and pharmacological sterilization costing 18–19 euros per pigeon per year (Giunchi
et al. 2012). Due to the negative consequences large and uncontrolled pigeon populations can
have in urban centers, understanding their population dynamics and interactions with humans
is vital to any potential population management. However, population management is not a
one-size-fits-all solution as population densities of pigeons vary across cities with different local
landscape factors and even historical and cultural differences influencing this relationship
(Hetmański et al. 2011, Przybylska et al. 2012, Tang et al. 2018). While many studies have
examined pigeon population density in various cities, no study has directly compared landscape
factors between two cities.
Here we investigate how environmental factors of the urbanized landscape influence pigeon
density. Specifically, we perform a comparative study between Madrid, Spain, and St. Louis,
Missouri, USA using the same methods for both cities to identify correlates that are transferable
between cities. Previous research has shown that pigeon density is positively correlated with
human density, food sources (such as restaurants with outdoor seating), transportation hubs,
water sources, litter, non-pigeon birds, parks, and schools (Chace and Walsh 2006, Fuller et al.
2008, Jokimäki and Suhonen 1998, Muscat et al. 2022, Przybylska et al. 2012, Robb et al. 2008,
Ryan 2011), and negatively correlated with road density and predator presence (Przybylska et
al. 2012, Tang et al. 2018); therefore we predict we will find the same correlates here.
Materials and Methods
Study area
We focused our study on two metropolitan cities Madrid, Spain and St. Louis, Missouri,
USA (Fig. 1, map of cities to scale in Supplementary Fig. 1; available online at https://
eaglehill.us/urnaonline/suppl-files/urna-079-Lewis-s1.pdf). Both cities are located inland
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and have a river (Real de Manzanare and the Mississippi River, respectively) as a central
feature. However, culturally, the cities are vastly different.
Madrid is a bustling capital city covering 604.3 km2 with a population of 3.4 million
(Instituto Nacional Estadística 2021). This region has a Mediterranean climate with both
continental and semi-arid influences. The city experiences cool winters, with January averaging
6.3o C, and hot summers, with July averaging 25.6o C. Madrid is overall very dry, only
receiving 423 mm in rainfall per year. The geographic region of Madrid has been inhabited
since the Roman settlements dating back to 200 BCE but urban development began when
the Spanish King Philip II moved his court from Toledo to Madrid in 1561, making Madrid
the political center of the Iberian Peninsula (Andreu Mediero 2007, Fusi Aizpurúa 1989).
During the second half of the 19th century, Madrid’s role as a financial and service center
was consolidated as the economy modernized and railway construction made the city a
transportation center, leading to building developments that expanded urbanization of the
area (Ruiz 2011). Madrid experienced a physical and cultural revolution after the 1975 fall
of the Francoist dictator regime that influences how humans interact with the city to this
day (Stapell 2015). The government undertook revitalization efforts that included repairing
historic buildings, cleaning public parks and plazas, placing thousands of trash cans
in the city center, expanding the public transportation system, and restricting automobiles
from certain parts of the city leaving many streets in the city center to pedestrians (Fig. 2)
(Stapell 2015). Along with these structural transformations, “the residents of Madrid were
also transformed from subjects of the dictatorship into active participants, engaging in all
manner of social activities around the clock and creating traffi c jams at 3:00 a.m.” (Stapell
2015). Following a brief population decline in 1975 after the fall of the dictatorial Franco
regime, the population has been steadily increasing since the 1990s (Fernández 2008) and
Madrid remains the most populous city in Spain (Instituto Nacional Estadística 2021).
Figure 1. Satellite images of Madrid and St. Louis in the context of their regions and countries.
Supplemental Figure 1 shows each city at the same scale.
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St. Louis encompasses an area of 172 km2 and contains a population of 301,508 people
in the city proper and a metro area of over 2.8 million (US Census Bureau 2020). St. Louis’s
climate is temperate with average temperatures ranging from -0.1o C in January to 26.7o C
in July, and an average yearly rainfall of 1,040 mm. St. Louis has held historical cultural
and economic importance in North America for centuries. The geographic area was home to
Cahokia, an indigenous city first settled in 600 CE (Hall 1991). Europeans began colonizing
the area starting in the 17th century (Primm 1998), and the city of St. Louis as we know
it today was founded in 1763 (Fausz 2012). In the late 19th century, industrial production
became vital to the St. Louis economy and the city reached its population peak in 1950
(US Census Bureau 2020), but has been experiencing considerable population loss as it
undergoes suburbanization (Primm 1998) and white flight (Gibson 1998). This population
loss has led to urban decline in the city, changing the dynamics of the city center, leaving
it with abandoned houses and boarded up storefronts (Gordon 2008). Unlike Madrid, city
revitalization efforts resulted in building more highways and parking spaces, as opposed to
more public transportation, and also focused on luring suburban dwellers back to city center,
rather than investing in renewal in the current tenants (Gordon 2008). The urban renewal
efforts in St. Louis often involved clearing blighted areas (e.g. areas with vacant homes or
factories) for new commercial or industrial development which perpetuated population loss
and the replacement of older architecture with newer buildings (Fig. 2) (Gordon 2008).
Transect selection and conduct
We conducted surveys in Madrid from February–June, 2022 and in St. Louis from September–
December 2022. Surveys were conducted by one person (D.E.L.) walking 5 km
transects that covered the central area of each city. Half the transects ran east–west while
the other half ran north–south (see Fig. 3A and 3E in results for a map of the transects) lead-
Figure 2. Images of two distinct environmental survey points from each city; downtown city center
(red point on map) and one from outside downtown (blue point on map). Each location has a difference
in the number of pedestrians, width of road, structure height, architecture style, and building use.
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ing to a grid pattern that was selected to maximize geographic distribution. Eight transects
were used to cover the geographic area of the city and an additional two transects in the
city center were added to obtain data from the most central areas of the city which were
not covered in the grid pattern transects. Each transect was surveyed either west to east or
north to south. Because we were interested in how humans influenced pigeon density, we
used two sample periods to cover human working hours and after work hours. Therefore,
each transect was surveyed twice, once during a typical 9am–5pm workday (day surveys)
and once after 5pm (evening surveys) to include movements of the human population as
an environmental variable. The order of the surveys in each city was determined using a
random number generator. All surveys were conducted on weekdays, during daylight hours,
and on days without active precipitation or high wind (i.e. wind was never above 5 on the
Beaufort Wind Scale). Because pigeons are not migratory, and urbanization is known to
lead to year-round breeding (Dunmore and Davis 1963, Häkkinen et al. 1973, Johnston and
Janiga 1995, Lees 1946, Murton et al. 1972), we expect the difference in survey periods to
have negligible influence on our results.
Pigeon surveys
We performed continuous visual encounter surveys for pigeons for the whole survey length,
while also stopping every 500 meters to collect environmental variables, standardizing across
cities using the same transect length (5 km) across 10 transects for a total of 50 km in each city.
For every individual or group of pigeons observed, the coordinates and time were recorded using
Gaia GPS (https://www.gaiagps.com/). We also recorded the number of pigeons and categorized
the substrate the pigeons were observed on as: building, phone line, streetlight, ground, flying
overhead (pigeon was observed flying above the tallest building), flying closer to the ground,
tree, or other (typically another smaller structure such as a car or statue).
Environmental survey
We recorded environmental variable surveys every 500 m along each transect with the
first survey point occurring at the starting point of each transect. On the second survey of each
transect, the first survey point occurred 250 m into the transect before continuing every 500 m
pattern. By alternating the starting points of the first and second survey, we were able to build
a map of survey points that occurred every ~250 m on the transects. At every data collection
point, we noted the temperature (o C), percent cloud cover (estimated out of 100), presence of
restaurants with outdoor tables, number of tables occupied with people (if applicable), presence
of waste disposal receptacles and type (e.g. dumpster, trash can, compost can), presence and type
of water source (e.g. puddle, fountain), litter (on a scale of 0–4), presence and number of birds
that were not pigeons, and number of pedestrians.
Human-provided food sources have been shown to positively correlate with pigeon density
across many studies (Chace and Walsh 2006, Fuller et al. 2008, Jokimäki and Suhonen 1998,
Marzluff 2001, Przybylska et al. 2012, Robb et al. 2008). Therefore, in our study, we used restaurants
with outdoor seating, presence of waste disposal, and litter to quantify human-provided
resources (sources for all environmental variables in Supplementary Table 1, available online
at https://eaglehill.us/urnaonline/suppl-files/urna-079-Lewis-s2.pdf). We also recorded water
sources because pigeons were observed drinking and bathing in public water features in Madrid
and studies have shown pigeons forage for water sources within several hundred meters of their
nesting sites (Johnston and Janiga 1995).
Pedestrian density has been shown to be positively correlated with pigeon density (Jokimäki
and Suhonen 1998, Muscat et al. 2022, Przybylska et al. 2012, Ryan 2011); therefore in addition
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to our own measure of pedestrian density, we decided to include transportation stops (bus stops)
which typically have high pedestrian traffic. To account for human density beyond pedestrian
density, we also incorporated population density into our models. Schools have also been shown
to be positively correlated with pigeon density (Przybylska et al. 2012); therefore, we included
the presence/absence of schools in our model.
Predator presence has been shown to be negatively correlated with pigeon density (Cade et
al. 1996, Johnston and Janiga 1995, Przybylska et al. 2012, Tang et al. 2018); thus we surveyed
the literature to determine which local species preyed upon pigeons and included these species
in our models. Predators included in the Madrid model were: Aquila fasciata Vieillot (Bonelli’s
Eagle), Hieraaetus pennatus Gmelin (Booted Eagle), Buteo buteo L. (Common Buzzard), Falco
tinnunculus L. (Eurasian Kestrel), Circus aeruginosus L. (Eurasian Marsh Harrier), Accipiter
nisus L. (Eurasian SparrowHawk), Aquila chrysaetos L. (Golden Eagle), Falco peregrinus Tunstall
(Peregrine Falcon), and Milvus milvus L. (Red Kite). Predators included in the St. Louis
model were: Haliaeetus leucocephalus L. (Bald Eagle), Falco peregrinus Tunstall (Peregrine
Falcon), Accipiter cooperii Bonaparte (Cooper’s Hawk), Accipiter striatus Vieillot (Sharp-
Shinned Hawk), Buteo jamaicensis Gmelin (Red-Tailed Hawk), and Buteo lineatus Gmelin
(Red-Shouldered Hawk). We downloaded all observations of these predators (through January
2023) in each city using eBird and clipped these data to the buffer for each environmental survey
location. We then used these observations to estimate predator density along the transect (Sullivan
et al. 2009). We combined all raptor observations into one “predators” variable and included
a binary predator presence variable.
Finally, green space and density of impervious surfaces have been shown to be positively
correlated with pigeon density (Przybylska et al. 2012), while density of roads has been shown
to be negatively correlated with pigeon presence (Przybylska et al. 2012, Tang et al. 2018),
therefore we included these variables in our analysis.
Statistical analysis
We examined potential covariates of pigeon observations including: date (as a sequential
integer by day starting 1 January 2022 and ending 31 December 2022), observation time
(as fractional time), time of day (day vs. evening survey), cloud cover, temperature (o C),
transect length, and total number of environmental survey points. We then tested for multicollinearity
among our covariates using the function ‘vif’ in the R package car (Fox et al.
2023).
Landscape analysis
We conducted our statistical analysis in R v.4.2.0 (R Core Team 2022). To assess the
influence of environmental variables, we created spatial buffers around each environmental
survey point using the function “st_buffer” from package sf (Pebesma et al. 2024). The
radius of each buffer was set to 125 m, half of the ~250 m distance between environmental
survey points, so the buffers would adjoin but not overlap. We summed the number of
pigeons encountered in each buffer and attached this number to the buffer using the “st_intersects”
function in the package sf. Because pigeon counts of 11 or more were recorded
categorically (11–20, 21–50, 51–100, <100) we created three estimates for pigeon counts
that encompassed the endpoints and midpoint of the ranges: low (11, 21, 51, 101), mid (15,
35, 75, 125), and high (20, 50, 100, 150). Each of these estimates (low, mid, high) were used
to build three separate models for each city. Similarly, as the number of people was recorded
categorically (11–20, 21–50, 51–100, <100), we used the mid estimate (15, 35, 75) for all
analyses. We decided to treat higher pigeon counts as a categorical variable because we
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could not accurately assess the number of pigeons at high densities but wanted to account
for these differences in our model. We counted the number of people categorically as well
for the same reason as the number of large flocks of pigeons– we were unable to quickly
count large crowds but wanted to account for differences in crowd size. We added all listed
environmental variables to the model along with our covariates
To capture the heterogeneity of urban landscape we considered 6 landscape factors
for both cities: parks, bus stops, road density, impervious surface, schools, and
predators. We transformed all spatial data sets into a shapefile by first converting to
data frames using the “as.data.frame” function from base R, followed by converting to
shapefiles using the “st_as_sf” function in the sf package. We then ensured each shapefile
was in the same projection (i.e. World Geodetic System 1984). Several environmental
variable maps were downloaded as Tiff files (impervious surfaces for both cities)
and were transformed to raster files using the package terra (Hijmans et al. 2024).
The process of transforming these Tiff files into shapefiles resulted in point geometry
which we grouped with the other point environmental variables. For the environmental
variables with point geometry, we performed the same technique as with the pigeon
counts, using “st_intersects” from the sf package to identify and sum the number of
points that fell within each buffer. For linestring and polygon environmental variables,
“st_intersection” from the sf package was used to find the length of road within the buffer
(linestring) and area of parks within the buffer (polygon).
Statistical models
For each city we investigated how pigeon count varied across the environmental
landscape by fitting a linear model of pigeon count by environmental variables and
our covariates. We then performed a backwards stepwise regression selection using the
function ‘step’ in the base stats package in R. A backwards stepwise regression starts
with the most complex model which includes all variables of interest, and then systematically
removes variables, simplifying the model. The simplification process involves
removing the variable with the highest p-value (therefore least significant in the model),
and then reevaluating the model with the variable removed. This step is repeated until
removing variables no longer improves the model’s performance according to Akaike
information criterion.
Results
Climate variation
Temperature was higher in St. Louis compared to Madrid, 19.6o C vs. 17.2o C, respectively.
St. Louis also had a larger temperature range of -1.1o C–34.4o C, compared to
Madrid’s range of 7.2o C–31.1o C. Cloud cover averaged 43.6 % and 29.2 % in Madrid
and St. Louis, respectively.
Confounding variables
We fit a single linear model of pigeon presence and found cloud cover to be correlated
with pigeon presence in Madrid (cloud cover: β = 0.080, t152: 2.100, P = 0.037). We
found no covariates for St. Louis. All covariates were the same across the low, mid, and
high pigeon estimate models for each city. Our one covariate for Madrid (cloud cover)
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had an inflation factor of 1.608. As the calculated inflation factor of our covariate was
not over 5, we concluded that multicollinearity was not a concern.
City-specific pigeon density findings
Madrid, Spain. We observed 2294 pigeons across 20 surveys (2 surveys of 10
transects) and collected 163 environmental survey points (Fig. 3B). On average, we
observed groups of pigeons containing 5 individuals. We observed more pigeons during
the evening surveys (n =11 30) than the day surveys (n = 842), but this difference was
not statistically significant (p = 0.18). During our surveys, we observed the majority of
pigeons on the ground (50.7 %), followed by on a building (17.8 %), flying closer to the
ground (10.2 %), flying overhead (10.0 %), in a tree (4.2 %), other (3.8 %), on a phone
line (2.2 %), on a streetlight (1.2 %) (Fig. 4). For Madrid, pedestrian density (Fig. 3C; p
< 0.05 for low model, p < 0.01 for mid model, p < 0.001 for high model) and restaurants
with outdoor seating (Fig. 3D; p <0.05 for low and mid models), population density
(p <0.001 for all models) were statistically significant in our environmental analysis
models.
St. Louis, Missouri, USA. We observed 644 pigeons across 20 surveys (2 surveys
of 10 transects) and collected 156 environmental survey points (Fig. 3F). We observed
fewer pigeons in the evenings (n = 232) than the day surveys (n = 262), but this difference
was not statistically significant (p = 0.58). We observed a plurality of pigeons on
buildings (41.3 %) followed by flying overhead (25.4 %), phone lines (20.6 %), flying
closer to ground (7.9 %), and finally on streetlights (4.8 %; Fig. 4). For St. Louis, pe-
Figure 3. Pigeon presence in Madrid, Spain and St. Louis, Missouri, USA. B, F depict the area
sampled (black circles) and observed presence of pigeons (blue dots). C, G depict pedestrian density
with point size correlating to the number of pedestrians observed (larger points have more observed
pedestrians). D, H displays the presence of restaurants with outdoor seating; red dots indicating presence
and gray dots indicating absence. Supplementary Figure 1 shows B and F at the same scale.
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destrian density (Fig. 3G; p < 0.001 for all models) and impervious surface (p < 0.001
for all models) were statistically significant in our environmental analysis models.
Discussion
Our research indicates that human density strongly influences pigeon density in both
St. Louis and Madrid, and that urban pigeons exhibit fine-scale spatial patterns that reflect
the built environment and location of humans. Our findings strongly or partially supported
three of our hypotheses: that pigeon population density would increase with (1) human density,
(2) prevalence of food resources, and (3) impervious surfaces. Specifically, we found
pigeon population density to be positively correlated with pedestrian density across both
cities; with population density and restaurants with outdoor seating in Madrid; and with
impervious surface in St. Louis. Our results corroborate previous studies that show positive
correlations between pigeon and human density (Hetmański et al. 2011, Jokimäki and
Suhonen 1998, Muscat et al. 2022, Przybylska et al. 2012, Ryan 2011). In Madrid, we found
that pigeon density increased in areas with restaurants with outdoor seating corroborating
multiple studies (Chace and Walsh 2006, Fuller et al. 2008, Jokimäki and Suhonen 1998,
Marzluff 2001, Przybylska et al. 2012, Robb et al. 2008). Finally, in St. Louis we found
that pigeon density increased with impervious surfaces, consistent with a previous study
conducted in Poznań, Poland (Przybylska et al. 2012).
Our results did not support four of our hypotheses: (1) pigeon density is negatively correlated
with predator presence, (2) pigeon density is negatively correlated with road density,
(3) pigeon density is positively correlated parks, and (4) pigeon density is positively
correlated with water sources. First, we predicted that pigeon density would be negatively
correlated with predator density as pigeons are a food source for raptors (Cade et al. 1996,
Johnston and Janiga 1995). However, our models found no correlation between raptor
presence and pigeon presence in either city. Second, we predicted pigeon density would
be negatively correlated with road density (Przybylska et al. 2012, Rose et al. 2006) but
found no correlation. However, this lack of correlation may be a result of differences in our
Figure 4. Number of pigeons observed on each substrate in Madrid and St. Louis using the mid estimate.
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data collection methods. Previous studies performed surveys in randomly selected plots
(Przybylska et al. 2012) or attached GPS monitors to individual pigeons (Rose et al. 2006),
while we performed our surveys walking along roads. Therefore, every one of our buffers
captures some section of road, meaning our model may be too homogenous for road density
to be able to observe any correlations. Third, previous research has also shown positive
correlations between urban bird populations and parks (Chace and Walsh 2006, Maciusik et
al. 2010, Przybylska et al. 2012); however, our models found no correlation with these landscape
features. Finally, we predicted that pigeon density would increase with the number of
water sources, but our models did not identify their presence a s a significant correlate.
Given that our results from Madrid and St. Louis were inconsistent, and often did not
match previous studies, we hypothesize that the political and cultural histories of each city
impact pigeon abundance and distribution. For example, we found that pigeon density was
significantly higher in Madrid, which is likely a reflection of the significantly higher density
of pedestrians we observed. We propose that St. Louis’ historical policies neglecting the revitalization
of downtown areas has discouraged more human use of the spaces, and that this
lower human use of the downtown area of St. Louis has led to fewer pigeons in these spaces
(Gordon 2008). Additionally, we found that pigeon presence increased with the number of
restaurants with outdoor seating in Madrid but not St. Louis. Similar to pedestrian density,
we think this may also be a reflection of cultural differences between Madrid and St. Louis.
For example, in Spain there is a “terraza” culture where people will meet at outdoor cafes
for wine, coffee, and tapas. This tradition means that it is very common to eat at outdoor
tables as opposed to dining indoors, creating human food waste that may be used as food
sources by pigeons. We also found that pigeon density was positively correlated with impervious
surface density in St. Louis but not Madrid. This difference may be the result of
St. Louis prioritizing building new highways and parking lots (Gordon 2008, Stapell 2015)
leading to an increase in impervious surface density throughout the city. Previous studies
have shown that the highest pigeon densities occur in areas where human density and impervious
surface density are also at their highest (Hetmański et al. 2011, Przybylska et al. 2012,
Sacchi et al. 2002). In a city like St. Louis where human density is comparatively lower and
impervious surface is comparatively higher it is reasonable that impervious surface would
emerge as a more significant factor in this context.
Our proposal that political and cultural histories influence current pigeon spatial distribution
can also be supported by the unsupported hypotheses. While we found no correlation
between pigeon density and park density in either city, Madrid has a much larger area
of parks (85,000 m² and 46,000 m² respectively) which could be a factor influencing the
greater number of pigeons we found in Madrid. We also did not find a correlation between
pigeon density and water source, but 15 of the 20 recorded water sources in Madrid were
permanent (fountains or water features as opposed to rain puddles), while in St. Louis, only
5 of the water sources were permanent. The greater number of permanent water sources
could be another factor causing significantly more pigeons in Madrid than St. Louis. Both
landscape features– parks and fountains– resulted from the revitalization undertaken in
Madrid in the late 1970s (Stapell 2015). Revitalization that was not undertaken in St. Louis,
leaving the city with fewer parks and permanent water sources and therefore, fewer pigeons.
However, further studies are needed to confirm a statistically significant correlation between
these landscape features and pigeon density.
Beyond the historical differences pertaining to our specific hypotheses regarding pigeon
density, our findings support previous studies relating pigeon population dynamics to city
infrastructure and antiquity. Studies have found that pigeon presence is associated with buildUrban
Naturalist
D. E. Lewis, J. B. Losos, and E. J. Carlen
2025 No. 79
11
ing features including building age and height (Ali et al. 2014; Przybylska et al. 2012; Sacchi
et al., 2002) because older and taller buildings provide more roosting and shelter opportunities
(Haag-Wackernagel and Geigenfeind 2008). We found that there was a higher density of
pigeons in Madrid which has older architecture than St. Louis (St. Louis Civic League 1907,
Thomas 2013). Finally, the timing of the colonization of each city in and of itself could be a
factor influencing greater pigeon density as this has been shown to influence population density
of other urban birds (Møller et al. 2012). Our findings serve to support this pattern as we
found a stark difference in the total number of pigeons observed between cities.
This research builds on a growing body of literature that describes how the individual
social history of a city, and even neighborhoods within a city, can shape urban wildlife
patterns and ecosystem dynamics. For example, Cocroft et al. (2024) found that human ethnicity
and the average income of neighborhoods in Phoenix, Arizona, USA are associated
with the activity patterns and occupancy of urban mammals. Additionally, Kinnunen et al.
(2025) found that commuting time, which varies by city age and suburban sprawl, is correlated
with migratory bird species richness in U.S. cities. Taken collectively, this growing
body of research reinforces the central tenet of landscape ecology that spatial heterogeneity—
in this case shaped by human history, culture, and policy—creates diverse ecological
responses in urban wildlife. Understanding these city-specific p atterns is not only theoretically
important but has practical implications for urban wildlife management, suggesting
that management strategies may need to be tailored to the unique landscape characteristics
and human-wildlife dynamics of each urban environment.
Data Availability Statement
All code for this manuscript can be found at: https://github.com/daisylew01/Pigeon-Population-
Dynamics.
Acknowledgements
We would like to thank the Losos lab and the honors program at Washington University in St.
Louis for supporting this undergraduate-led research project. We thank Dr. Diaz-Pacheco for his willingness
to share his data and Justin Baldwin for his expertise in locating problem-points in R. We are
grateful for the constructive feedback from two anonymous reviewers, which significantly improved
this manuscript. E.J.C. was supported by NSF DBI-2109587 and the Living Earth Collaborative at
Washington University in St. Louis.
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